LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 27 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 25 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 22 games
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
Sand King
Yopaj · 20 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 18 games
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
Clockwerk
Jaunuel · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
425 picks · 168 bans
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 468 bans
Nyx Assassin
305 picks · 614 bans
Mars
299 picks · 522 bans
Puck
299 picks · 693 bans
Hoodwink
264 picks · 111 bans
Enchantress
262 picks · 340 bans
Lina
258 picks · 332 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% Neon Esports
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total61% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:29
Fnatic 39%Neon Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 31:29.
Game 2prediction correct9:45
Fnatic 39%Neon Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 29:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 61%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2