BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SSPAWNloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
SPAWN
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
370 picks · 577 bans
Undying
329 picks · 570 bans
Tiny
320 picks · 213 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 331 bans
Primal Beast
237 picks · 463 bans
Enigma
229 picks · 735 bans
Shadow Fiend
209 picks · 244 bans
Death Prophet
207 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Fnatic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:18
Fnatic 78%SPAWN 22%
The model gave 78% on Fnatic — the game was taken by SPAWN in 35:33.
Game 2prediction missed44:31
Fnatic 78%SPAWN 22%
The model gave 78% on Fnatic — the game was taken by SPAWN in 43:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 78%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2