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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team SMGwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fnatic

No games played over 6 months.

Team SMG

Lion
Lion
Roddgeee · 17 games
59%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
AhFu · 11 games
36%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 10 games
80%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Roddgeee · 9 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
Ohaiyo · 9 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 9 games
78%
Tusk
Tusk
AhFu · 9 games
56%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 9 games
89%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
427 picks · 170 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 475 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 615 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
303 picks · 692 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
297 picks · 519 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
279 picks · 117 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
259 picks · 338 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
256 picks · 320 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:22
Fnatic 65%Team SMG 35%
The model gave 65% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Team SMG in 26:23.
Game 2prediction missed17:24
Fnatic 65%Team SMG 35%
The model gave 65% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Team SMG in 30:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 65%
Series resultTeam SMG 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2