LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team SMGloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Team SMG
Lionsignature
AhFu · 18 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 14 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 13 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 11 games
Marssignature
kpii · 11 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 11 games
Tusksignature
AhFu · 11 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
432 picks · 191 bans
Hoodwink
344 picks · 135 bans
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 628 bans
Puck
299 picks · 676 bans
Ancient Apparition
291 picks · 460 bans
Mars
289 picks · 512 bans
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 354 bans
Lina
260 picks · 356 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 47%
Hero pool strength60% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:33
Fnatic 51%Team SMG 49%
The model gave 51% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Team SMG in 33:08.
Game 2prediction missed28:48
Fnatic 51%Team SMG 49%
The model gave 51% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Team SMG in 48:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 51%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2