GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 1:0series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Spiritloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Team Spirit
Banesignature
Miposhka · 30 games
Ember Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
Marssignature
Collapse · 18 games
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 14 games
Weaversignature
Mira · 13 games
Iosignature
Mira · 12 games
Lionsignature
Mira · 12 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
541 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 576 bans
Mars
439 picks · 592 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 733 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 539 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 168 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 76%
Hero pool strength62% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total75% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:14
Fnatic 25%Team Spirit 75%
The model gave 75% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 35:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 75%
Series resultFnatic 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1