DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionFGFun gamersloss 0:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Zone Academywin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fun gamers
No games played over 6 months.
Zone Academy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
336 picks · 276 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 452 bans
Rubick
321 picks · 310 bans
Hoodwink
316 picks · 366 bans
Windranger
306 picks · 420 bans
Dragon Knight
298 picks · 467 bans
Enchantress
294 picks · 512 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Fun gamers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Zone Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fun gamers 41%Zone Academy 59%
The model gave 59% on Zone Academy — the game was taken by Zone Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteZone Academy · 59%
Series resultZone Academy 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1