BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Fusionwin 1:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AcatSukiloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fusion
Hoodwinkoften banned
Michael · 6 games
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
Disruptor
Prada · 4 games
Svenoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Jakiro
Michael · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
Prada · 3 games
AcatSuki
Marsoften banned
kendallx · 4 games
Mirana
Kiri · 3 games
Tinyoften banned
Adrx · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Prada · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
kendallx · 2 games
Elder Titan
Yor · 2 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Kiri · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Yor · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
364 picks · 350 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 514 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
277 picks · 475 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% AcatSuki
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Fusion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fusion 52%AcatSuki 48%
The model gave 52% on Fusion — the game was taken by Fusion.
Model check result
Model favoriteFusion · 52%
Series resultFusion 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1