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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fusionloss 1:2
series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Cuyes Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fusion

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Michael · 6 games
17%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
20%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Prada · 4 games
25%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Wits · 4 games
25%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wits · 4 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Wits · 4 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Michael · 3 games
0%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Prada · 3 games
33%

Cuyes Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 10 games
80%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Mjz · 6 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
75%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
75%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
50%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
370 picks · 354 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
329 picks · 520 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
284 picks · 486 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
279 picks · 348 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
277 picks · 252 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 50%
Hero pool strength63% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total89% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fusion 11%Cuyes Esports 89%
The model gave 89% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Fusion 11%Cuyes Esports 89%
The model gave 89% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Fusion.
Game 3prediction correct
Fusion 11%Cuyes Esports 89%
The model gave 89% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 89%
Series resultCuyes Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3