DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Azure Raywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Azure Ray
Lunasignature
lou · 23 games
Lion
fy · 19 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Faith_bian · 19 games
Techiessignature
天命 · 18 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 17 games
Batrideroften banned
fy · 16 games
Magnussignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
367 picks · 321 bans
Centaur Warrunner
330 picks · 478 bans
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 315 bans
Pangolier
272 picks · 389 bans
Techies
261 picks · 176 bans
Mars
259 picks · 353 bans
Hoodwink
257 picks · 143 bans
Magnus
251 picks · 473 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength59% Azure Ray
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total56% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:28
G2 Invictus Gaming 44%Azure Ray 56%
The model gave 56% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 40:42.
Game 2prediction correct32:40
G2 Invictus Gaming 44%Azure Ray 56%
The model gave 56% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:01:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 56%
Series resultAzure Ray 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2