Elite League · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Azure Ray
Luna
lou · 24 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 23 games
Lion
fy · 21 game
Techiessignature
天命 · 21 game
Tinysignature
fy · 21 game
Primal Beastsignature
Ori · 20 games
Rubicksignature
天命 · 19 games
Batrideroften banned
fy · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
497 picks · 784 bans
Batrider
459 picks · 965 bans
Techies
455 picks · 351 bans
Crystal Maiden
453 picks · 196 bans
Mars
450 picks · 717 bans
Tiny
449 picks · 598 bans
Rubick
437 picks · 205 bans
Pangolier
424 picks · 714 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 61%
Hero pool strength57% Azure Ray
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total54% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:14
G2 Invictus Gaming 46%Azure Ray 54%
The model gave 54% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:06:52.
Game 2prediction correct9:34
G2 Invictus Gaming 46%Azure Ray 54%
The model gave 54% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 33:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 54%
Accuracy by game2 of 2