ESL One Birmingham 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
Lion
Save- · 19 games
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 16 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 16 games
Techiessignature
Save- · 16 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
465 picks · 202 bans
Batrider
445 picks · 832 bans
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 666 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 591 bans
Rubick
410 picks · 176 bans
Pangolier
389 picks · 699 bans
Mars
384 picks · 621 bans
Techies
384 picks · 296 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:23
G2 Invictus Gaming 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 56:51.
Game 2prediction correct36:38
G2 Invictus Gaming 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:10:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2