The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cloud9win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Cloud9
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 37 games
Banesignature
Fishman · 26 games
Brewmastersignature
DM · 20 games
Grimstrokesignature
Kataomi · 17 games
Disruptorsignature
Fishman · 16 games
Leshracoften banned
No[o]ne · 16 games
Svensignature
Fishman · 16 games
Weaversignature
Fishman · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
409 picks · 374 bans
Hoodwink
383 picks · 428 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 532 bans
Jakiro
342 picks · 256 bans
Weaver
333 picks · 745 bans
Ember Spirit
318 picks · 642 bans
Tiny
316 picks · 763 bans
Phoenix
308 picks · 651 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 43%
Hero pool strength61% Cloud9
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:10
G2 Invictus Gaming 51%Cloud9 49%
The model gave 51% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Cloud9 in 35:23.
Game 2prediction missed17:28
G2 Invictus Gaming 51%Cloud9 49%
The model gave 51% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Cloud9 in 43:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 51%
Series resultCloud9 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2