Elite League · BO1
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 1:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PSG Questloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
PSG Quest
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 23 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 17 games
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 15 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 14 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dukalis · 14 games
Lionsignature
OmaR · 14 games
Rubick
OmaR · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 769 bans
Batrider
469 picks · 936 bans
Crystal Maiden
456 picks · 201 bans
Tiny
455 picks · 611 bans
Techies
443 picks · 341 bans
Mars
439 picks · 693 bans
Rubick
438 picks · 199 bans
Pangolier
430 picks · 734 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:11
G2 Invictus Gaming 55%PSG Quest 45%
The model gave 55% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 36:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 55%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1