PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Brightloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Bright
Magnusoften banned
Irving · 10 games
Tidehuntersignature
Irving · 10 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Xwy · 8 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
RedPanda · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Xwy · 7 games
Doomoften banned
Irving · 6 games
Ember Spiritsignature
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Hoodwinksignature
TK · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
419 picks · 685 bans
Mars
399 picks · 645 bans
Lion
393 picks · 361 bans
Techies
393 picks · 323 bans
Batrider
378 picks · 837 bans
Tiny
378 picks · 461 bans
Vengeful Spirit
358 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 597 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% Team Bright
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:8
G2 Invictus Gaming 86%Team Bright 14%
The model gave 86% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Bright in 28:22.
Game 2prediction missed33:21
G2 Invictus Gaming 86%Team Bright 14%
The model gave 86% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Bright in 51:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 86%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2