ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Liquid
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 18 games
Lycansignature
zai · 14 games
Undyingoften banned
iNSaNiA · 14 games
Ember Spirit
Nisha · 13 games
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 12 games
Enchantresssignature
iNSaNiA · 12 games
Pugnaoften banned
iNSaNiA · 12 games
Timbersawoften banned
zai · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
273 picks · 401 bans
Dark Willow
230 picks · 110 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 321 bans
Treant Protector
216 picks · 452 bans
Phoenix
212 picks · 308 bans
Kunkka
196 picks · 506 bans
Tusk
192 picks · 158 bans
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 397 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:25
G2 Invictus Gaming 26%Team Liquid 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 46:41.
Game 2prediction correct20:34
G2 Invictus Gaming 26%Team Liquid 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 37:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 74%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2