ESL One Birmingham 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Liquid
Lunasignature
miCKe · 24 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 24 games
Rubick
Boxi · 22 games
Brewmastersignature
33 · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 18 games
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 18 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 16 games
Doomoften banned
33 · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
462 picks · 202 bans
Batrider
444 picks · 832 bans
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 667 bans
Tiny
430 picks · 591 bans
Rubick
410 picks · 175 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 694 bans
Mars
384 picks · 621 bans
Techies
383 picks · 297 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:44
G2 Invictus Gaming 54%Team Liquid 46%
The model gave 54% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 54:26.
Game 2prediction missed8:29
G2 Invictus Gaming 54%Team Liquid 46%
The model gave 54% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 25:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 54%
Accuracy by game0 of 2