DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Zerowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Zero
Brewmasteroften banned
BEYOND · 10 games
Batridersignature
iceice · 9 games
Miranasignature
zzq · 9 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
zzq · 7 games
Lion
iceice · 7 games
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 7 games
Muertasignature
iceice · 6 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
zzq · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 652 bans
Lion
385 picks · 356 bans
Mars
385 picks · 618 bans
Techies
378 picks · 308 bans
Batrider
362 picks · 788 bans
Tiny
356 picks · 411 bans
Vengeful Spirit
353 picks · 355 bans
Hoodwink
335 picks · 202 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 54%
Hero pool strength56% Team Zero
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:35
G2 Invictus Gaming 77%Team Zero 23%
The model gave 77% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 46:25.
Game 2prediction missed42:29
G2 Invictus Gaming 77%Team Zero 23%
The model gave 77% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 1:07:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 77%
Series resultTeam Zero 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2