?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Tundra Esports

Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 18 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Sneyking · 16 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Sneyking · 14 games
36%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Sneyking · 13 games
46%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Skiter · 13 games
54%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
33 · 13 games
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Aui_2000 · 13 games
31%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 385 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
227 picks · 111 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
219 picks · 316 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
215 picks · 458 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
211 picks · 296 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
191 picks · 488 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
190 picks · 147 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
186 picks · 392 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% G2 Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:41
G2 Invictus Gaming 32%Tundra Esports 68%
The model gave 68% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 44:48.
Game 2prediction correct11:38
G2 Invictus Gaming 32%Tundra Esports 68%
The model gave 68% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 30:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 68%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2