DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 46 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 29 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
Doomsignature
Ace · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 25 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 24 games
9Pandas
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 47 games
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 24 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 22 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
Disruptor
Solo · 20 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
747 picks · 634 bans
Disruptor
603 picks · 533 bans
Doom
530 picks · 1029 bans
Beastmaster
529 picks · 1301 bans
Ember Spirit
455 picks · 1164 bans
Pangolier
451 picks · 938 bans
Mirana
435 picks · 224 bans
Techies
432 picks · 447 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total84% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:25
Gaimin Gladiators 69%9Pandas 31%
The model gave 69% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 38:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaAce
MorphlingRAMZES666
Bloodseekerdyrachyo
Timbersawkiyotaka
Queen of PainQuinn
MiranaMieRo
Spirit BreakertOfu
Bounty HunterAntares
EnchantressSeleri
Witch DoctorSolo
Game 2prediction correct26:16
Gaimin Gladiators 72%9Pandas 28%
The model gave 72% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusadyrachyo
WindrangerRAMZES666
TimbersawAce
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
Ember SpiritQuinn
BeastmasterMieRo
MiranatOfu
PugnaAntares
RubickSeleri
UndyingSolo
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 84%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2