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ESL One Malaysia 2022. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 28 games
61%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 22 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 20 games
95%
Bane
Bane
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 10 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 8 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
43%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 6 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 6 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
633 picks · 477 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 954 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
366 picks · 189 bans
51%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
362 picks · 429 bans
46%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 588 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
333 picks · 453 bans
50%
Marci
Marci
313 picks · 628 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
311 picks · 194 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 52%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:32
Gaimin Gladiators 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 40:32.
Game 2prediction missed27:20
Gaimin Gladiators 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:48.
Game 3prediction missed19:47
Gaimin Gladiators 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 51%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3