DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 33 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 25 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 22 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 20 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 18 games
Enchantress
Seleri · 16 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 16 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
960 picks · 659 bans
Tiny
659 picks · 465 bans
Nature's Prophet
580 picks · 927 bans
Tusk
550 picks · 439 bans
Treant Protector
528 picks · 528 bans
Snapfire
518 picks · 343 bans
Death Prophet
499 picks · 1093 bans
Clockwerk
468 picks · 347 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 47%
Hero pool strength58% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head5 – 3
Model total70% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:10
Gaimin Gladiators 70%Entity 30%
The model gave 70% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:32.
Game 2prediction correct20:6
Gaimin Gladiators 70%Entity 30%
The model gave 70% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 25:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 70%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2