DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 48 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 29 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
Doomsignature
Ace · 27 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 25 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 25 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
754 picks · 630 bans
Disruptor
610 picks · 536 bans
Doom
537 picks · 1065 bans
Beastmaster
534 picks · 1330 bans
Pangolier
463 picks · 958 bans
Ember Spirit
462 picks · 1173 bans
Techies
460 picks · 488 bans
Enchantress
440 picks · 633 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 28%
Hero pool strength63% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head7 – 2
Model total91% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:15
Gaimin Gladiators 91%Entity 9%
The model gave 91% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 23:26.
Game 2prediction correct23:17
Gaimin Gladiators 91%Entity 9%
The model gave 91% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 47:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 91%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2