?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HFloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 26 games
62%
Bane
Bane
tOfu · 22 games
59%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 20 games
65%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
61%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
tOfu · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
94%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 15 games
67%

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 11 games
73%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 11 games
64%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
550 picks · 461 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
440 picks · 688 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
426 picks · 541 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
396 picks · 278 bans
58%
Puck
Puck
356 picks · 818 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 577 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 639 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
333 picks · 530 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:26
Gaimin Gladiators 74%HF 26%
The model gave 74% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 39:35.
Game 2prediction correct27:41
Gaimin Gladiators 74%HF 26%
The model gave 74% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 42:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 74%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2