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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
IVYloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 28 games
61%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 24 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 21 game
90%
Tiny
Tinysignature
dyrachyo · 20 games
65%
Bane
Bane
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
61%

IVY

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mo13ei · 25 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 15 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 12 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 11 games
55%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Mo13ei · 11 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
jmn- · 10 games
60%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Max · 10 games
40%
Chen
Chenoften banned
jmn- · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
649 picks · 476 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 967 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
370 picks · 441 bans
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
366 picks · 189 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 587 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
332 picks · 447 bans
50%
Marci
Marci
319 picks · 643 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
308 picks · 188 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:17
Gaimin Gladiators 62%IVY 38%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaBOOM
45% · 151 game47% · 109 games
ViperMax
Viper
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAce
49% · 95 games56% · 95 games
BatriderMo13ei
Batrider
Juggernaut
Juggernautdyrachyo
49% · 92 games61% · 61 game
Faceless VoidLowskill
Faceless Void
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakertOfu
44% · 172 games51% · 277 games
TinyQupe
Tiny
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSeleri
50% · 32 games
Game 2prediction correct47:36
Gaimin Gladiators 62%IVY 38%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 38:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Arc Warden
Arc WardenBOOM
29% · 3 games60% · 161 game
WeaverLowskill
Weaver
Razor
Razordyrachyo
50% · 122 games50% · 109 games
ZeusMo13ei
Zeus
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerAce
43% · 119 games52% · 98 games
ViperMax
Viper
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagetOfu
52% · 74 games46% · 34 games
PudgeQupe
Pudge
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSeleri
45% · 84 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 76%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2