BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 24 games
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 11 games
Earthshakersignature
Quinn · 10 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Seleri · 10 games
LGD Gaming
Lionsignature
Pyw · 11 games
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
Pucksignature
Setsu · 10 games
Muertasignature
shiro · 8 games
Brewmastersignature
niu · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
Emo · 7 games
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 7 games
Vengeful Spirit
y` · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
366 picks · 560 bans
Vengeful Spirit
323 picks · 257 bans
Lion
322 picks · 282 bans
Phoenix
316 picks · 462 bans
Magnus
282 picks · 453 bans
Grimstroke
278 picks · 459 bans
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 778 bans
Pangolier
277 picks · 405 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total62% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:27
Gaimin Gladiators 55%LGD Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 36:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemistdyrachyo
Lunashiro
PuckQuinn
Bristlebackniu
BroodmotherAce
SlardarSetsu
EnchantressSeleri
Crystal Maideny`
RubicktOfu
BatriderPyw
Game 2prediction correct27:17
Gaimin Gladiators 57%LGD Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightQuinn
Lunashiro
Lone DruidAce
LinaSetsu
Slarkdyrachyo
Primal Beastniu
JakiroSeleri
TuskPyw
LiontOfu
Shadow Demony`
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2