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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 25 games
48%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 22 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 20 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
tOfu · 18 games
56%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 17 games
76%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 17 games
59%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
75%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%

LGD Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
niu · 20 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 20 games
30%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Pyw · 17 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Setsu · 15 games
53%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 15 games
53%
Lion
Lion
Pyw · 14 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Pyw · 14 games
43%
Weaver
Weaversignature
shiro · 13 games
85%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
386 picks · 676 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
320 picks · 373 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
319 picks · 454 bans
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
312 picks · 352 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
311 picks · 594 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
309 picks · 194 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
305 picks · 225 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
290 picks · 534 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:38
Gaimin Gladiators 54%LGD Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 35:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosQuinn
38% · 4 games56% · 10 games
Sand KingEcho
Sand King
Underlord
UnderlordAce
44% · 52 games60% · 61 game
Troll Warlordshiro
Troll Warlord
Ursa
Ursadyrachyo
45% · 74 games52% · 137 games
Primal Beastniu
Primal Beast
Windranger
WindrangertOfu
50% · 88 games50% · 114 games
ClockwerkPyw
Clockwerk
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
51% · 144 games48% · 40 games
Jakiroy`
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct24:18
Gaimin Gladiators 56%LGD Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 38:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursadyrachyo
44% · 55 games56% · 82 games
Troll Warlordshiro
Troll Warlord
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
45% · 91 game44% · 41 game
Shadow FiendEcho
Shadow Fiend
Invoker
InvokerQuinn
52% · 34 games54% · 99 games
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Chen
ChenSeleri
50% · 44 games54% · 7 games
Nyx AssassinPyw
Nyx Assassin
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakertOfu
51% · 49 games51% · 44 games
Jakiroy`
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2