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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 21 game
62%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Quinn · 20 games
60%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 19 games
74%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
56%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
tOfu · 15 games
60%

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 24 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 23 games
52%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
68%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 22 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fly · 21 game
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Copy · 21 game
62%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Lelis · 21 game
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
338 picks · 460 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
335 picks · 289 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 221 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
318 picks · 443 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
309 picks · 564 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
283 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
266 picks · 377 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
256 picks · 768 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total77% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:15
Gaimin Gladiators 64%nouns 36%
The model gave 64% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaWatson
54% · 258 games49% · 362 games
GyrocopterYuma
Gyrocopter
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAce
50% · 305 games51% · 141 game
Sand KingGunnar
Sand King
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
47% · 388 games48% · 381 game
PhoenixCopy
Phoenix
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
48% · 308 games49% · 248 games
SnapfireLelis
Snapfire
Dark Willow
Dark WillowtOfu
49% · 253 games53% · 380 games
ClockwerkFly
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct33:10
Gaimin Gladiators 65%nouns 35%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWatson
48% · 114 games58% · 94 games
UrsaYuma
Ursa
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
48% · 238 games46% · 61 game
Earth SpiritCopy
Earth Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordAce
48% · 101 game49% · 311 games
PangolierGunnar
Pangolier
Mirana
MiranatOfu
55% · 138 games45% · 264 games
HoodwinkLelis
Hoodwink
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
51% · 241 game53% · 102 games
Elder TitanFly
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 77%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2