?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа. Финал · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 15 games
73%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 13 games
69%
Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 12 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 10 games
90%
Weaver
Weaversignature
tOfu · 10 games
70%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 9 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
BOOM · 8 games
75%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
BOOM · 7 games
57%

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Taiga · 14 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 12 games
33%
Bane
Bane
Misha · 11 games
55%
Razor
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 9 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
SumaiL · 8 games
63%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 8 games
38%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Taiga · 8 games
63%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yuragi · 8 games
88%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
539 picks · 381 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 650 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
434 picks · 527 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
424 picks · 845 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
350 picks · 177 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
335 picks · 535 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
332 picks · 527 bans
52%
Wraith King
Wraith King
271 picks · 306 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:7
Gaimin Gladiators 55%OG 45%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 25:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith Kingdyrachyo
50% · 140 games52% · 216 games
KunkkaYuragi
Kunkka
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritBOOM
42% · 124 games51% · 277 games
Queen of Painbzm
Queen of Pain
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerAce
49% · 105 games55% · 64 games
SlardarATF
Slardar
Io
IoSeleri
51% · 118 games54% · 30 games
ChenMisha
Chen
Grimstroke
GrimstroketOfu
47% · 178 games51% · 78 games
Shadow ShamanTaiga
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct22:6
Gaimin Gladiators 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 26:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainBOOM
50% · 214 games47% · 33 games
ClinkzYuragi
Clinkz
Wraith King
Wraith Kingdyrachyo
52% · 178 games44% · 344 games
Puckbzm
Puck
Tidehunter
TidehunterAce
50% · 165 games63% · 4 games
HuskarATF
Huskar
Rubick
RubicktOfu
50% · 190 games54% · 281 game
WeaverTaiga
Weaver
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSeleri
51% · 91 game51% · 176 games
AbaddonMisha
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 59%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2