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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 36 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 22 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 17 games
47%
Mirana
Mirana
tOfu · 17 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 16 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ace · 16 games
44%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 16 games
44%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 30 games
77%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 27 games
70%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 26 games
69%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 26 games
69%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 23 games
83%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 21 game
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 687 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
432 picks · 698 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
418 picks · 407 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
413 picks · 317 bans
53%
Magnus
Magnus
372 picks · 965 bans
58%
Bristleback
Bristleback
371 picks · 862 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 501 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
365 picks · 424 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total69% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:32
Gaimin Gladiators 39%PARIVISION 61%
The model gave 61% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeWatson
43% · 103 games51% · 172 games
Monkey KingSatanic
Monkey King
Bristleback
BristlebackAce
49% · 162 games48% · 94 games
SniperNo[o]ne
Sniper
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainQuinn
42% · 85 games53% · 78 games
BrewmasterDM
Brewmaster
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LighttOfu
53% · 55 games53% · 59 games
Night Stalker9Class
Night Stalker
Elder Titan
Elder TitanMalady
55% · 121 game54% · 123 games
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct14:28
Gaimin Gladiators 40%PARIVISION 60%
The model gave 60% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 26:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckQuinn
47% · 85 games44% · 150 games
Phantom AssassinSatanic
Phantom Assassin
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
57% · 113 games48% · 42 games
DazzleDM
Dazzle
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightWatson
52% · 154 games49% · 90 games
SlardarNo[o]ne
Slardar
Jakiro
JakiroMalady
59% · 112 games42% · 62 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Riki
RikitOfu
51% · 39 games51% · 159 games
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 69%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2