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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Talon Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 24 games
58%
Mirana
Mirana
tOfu · 15 games
53%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
36%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 13 games
38%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Quinn · 13 games
62%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ace · 12 games
42%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 28 games
68%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 22 games
64%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Mikoto · 21 game
76%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 20 games
50%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
79%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Jhocam · 17 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ws · 16 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
475 picks · 418 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
437 picks · 567 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
435 picks · 534 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
434 picks · 230 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
430 picks · 504 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
422 picks · 750 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 586 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
366 picks · 417 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:39
Gaimin Gladiators 49%Talon Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 44:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerWatson
54% · 229 games47% · 102 games
LinaMikoto
Lina
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainQuinn
51% · 122 games50% · 345 games
TinyNatsumi
Tiny
Bristleback
BristlebackAce
55% · 191 game50% · 224 games
MarsWs
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
45% · 475 games43% · 269 games
PhoenixKuku
Phoenix
Pugna
PugnaSeleri
50% · 210 games52% · 287 games
Shadow DemonJhocam
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 52%
Series resultTalon Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1