BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 12 games
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 11 games
Team Liquid
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 12 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 12 games
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
371 picks · 560 bans
Lion
340 picks · 294 bans
Vengeful Spirit
333 picks · 289 bans
Phoenix
313 picks · 446 bans
Pangolier
294 picks · 404 bans
Magnus
291 picks · 481 bans
Nature's Prophet
281 picks · 770 bans
Faceless Void
278 picks · 680 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head10 – 4
Model total52% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:19
Gaimin Gladiators 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 26:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlorddyrachyo
SniperNisha
TimbersawAce
MarcimiCKe
PuckQuinn
Batrider33
Dark WillowtOfu
IoBoxi
Shadow DemonSeleri
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
Game 2prediction correct39:24
Gaimin Gladiators 50%Team Liquid 50%
The model gave 50% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemistdyrachyo
Arc WardenNisha
Queen of PainQuinn
WeavermiCKe
SlardarAce
Batrider33
EnigmaSeleri
EnchantressiNSaNiA
TusktOfu
MarciBoxi
Game 3prediction missed22:37
Gaimin Gladiators 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 50:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Svendyrachyo
WindrangermiCKe
Queen of PainQuinn
Templar AssassinNisha
Dark SeerAce
Alchemist33
Nature's ProphettOfu
TinyBoxi
EnigmaSeleri
Winter WyverniNSaNiA
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 52%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3