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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 47 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 42 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 38 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 35 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 33 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%

Team Spirit

Rubick
Rubick
Mira · 35 games
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Larl · 27 games
59%
Lich
Lichsignature
Miposhka · 26 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 23 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Larl · 19 games
68%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Collapse · 18 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Miposhka · 17 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 185 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
296 picks · 416 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
248 picks · 427 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
234 picks · 380 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
233 picks · 369 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
231 picks · 182 bans
49%
Morphling
Morphling
225 picks · 422 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
223 picks · 431 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total66% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:32
Gaimin Gladiators 60%Team Spirit 40%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 37:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
56% · 275 games52% · 316 games
TerrorbladeYatoro
Terrorblade
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterdyrachyo
50% · 77 games44% · 145 games
InvokerLarl
Invoker
Puck
PuckQuinn
53% · 120 games51% · 334 games
Primal BeastCollapse
Primal Beast
Rubick
RubicktOfu
45% · 434 games46% · 189 games
Skywrath MageMira
Skywrath Mage
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSeleri
52% · 154 games51% · 76 games
Vengeful SpiritMiposhka
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction missed26:47
Gaimin Gladiators 64%Team Spirit 36%
The model gave 64% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 39:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
60% · 115 games38% · 52 games
Phantom AssassinYatoro
Phantom Assassin
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterdyrachyo
56% · 46 games42% · 91 game
MarsCollapse
Mars
Tidehunter
TidehunterAce
53% · 95 games44% · 45 games
KunkkaLarl
Kunkka
Earthshaker
EarthshakertOfu
54% · 75 games44% · 60 games
Shadow DemonMira
Shadow Demon
Io
IoSeleri
53% · 46 games50% · 129 games
EnchantressMiposhka
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 66%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2