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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Spiritloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 21 game
62%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Quinn · 20 games
60%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 19 games
74%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
56%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
tOfu · 15 games
60%

Team Spirit

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 26 games
58%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 26 games
81%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 22 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 18 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 18 games
61%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
337 picks · 464 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
330 picks · 285 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
325 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
313 picks · 440 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
309 picks · 561 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 385 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
258 picks · 774 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 65%
Hero pool strength54% Team Spirit
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total57% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:12
Gaimin Gladiators 49%Team Spirit 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWatson
51% · 112 games42% · 98 games
MedusaSatanic
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritQuinn
56% · 178 games42% · 98 games
Earth SpiritLarl
Earth Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
58% · 159 games47% · 338 games
PangolierMalik
Pangolier
Dark Willow
Dark WillowtOfu
49% · 237 games49% · 278 games
ClockwerkMiposhka
Clockwerk
Tusk
TuskSeleri
46% · 236 games61% · 110 games
Lionrue
Lion
Game 2prediction correct15:28
Gaimin Gladiators 48%Team Spirit 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 38:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverWatson
53% · 264 games52% · 189 games
LunaSatanic
Luna
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
44% · 207 games51% · 12 games
RikiLarl
Riki
Invoker
InvokerQuinn
43% · 157 games48% · 277 games
PangolierMalik
Pangolier
Mirana
MiranatOfu
55% · 211 games48% · 196 games
HoodwinkMiposhka
Hoodwink
Omniknight
OmniknightSeleri
62% · 76 games47% · 241 game
Clockwerkrue
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2