Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Yandexloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Muertasignature
tOfu · 31 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 27 games
Jakiro
Malady · 26 games
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 25 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Quinn · 20 games
Warlocksignature
Malady · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 19 games
Team Yandex
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 6 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TA2000 · 5 games
Warlock
Solo · 5 games
Marci
prblms · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Noticed · 3 games
Dazzleoften banned
Noticed · 3 games
Doomoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
488 picks · 526 bans
Tiny
446 picks · 461 bans
Tusk
357 picks · 360 bans
Ringmaster
352 picks · 200 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 516 bans
Terrorblade
349 picks · 728 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 197 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:5
Gaimin Gladiators 69%Team Yandex 31%
The model gave 69% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 26:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetWatson
LifestealerTA2000
UnderlordAce
AxeNoticed
PuckQuinn
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
MuertatOfu
DazzleSolo
AbaddonMalady
Shadow Shamanprblms
Game 2prediction correct22:6
Gaimin Gladiators 69%Team Yandex 31%
The model gave 69% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeWatson
Nature's ProphetTA2000
UnderlordAce
BeastmasterNoticed
Monkey KingQuinn
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
AbaddonMalady
WarlockSolo
Shadow ShamantOfu
Dark Willowprblms
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 82%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2