BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 24 games
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
Earthshakersignature
Quinn · 10 games
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 10 games
Virtus.pro
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 17 games
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 17 games
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 14 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 562 bans
Lion
327 picks · 283 bans
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 266 bans
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
Magnus
283 picks · 457 bans
Grimstroke
280 picks · 460 bans
Pangolier
280 picks · 411 bans
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 780 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total51% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:20
Gaimin Gladiators 50%Virtus.pro 50%
The model gave 50% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 37:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PangolierQuinn
SlarkKiritych
Bloodseekerdyrachyo
Keeper of the LightSquad1x
MagnusAce
TidehunterNoticed
Crystal MaidentOfu
EnchantressFng
BatriderSeleri
Rubicksayuw
Game 2prediction correct22:40
Gaimin Gladiators 49%Virtus.pro 51%
The model gave 51% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 40:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaQuinn
Queen of PainSquad1x
Magnusdyrachyo
MorphlingKiritych
Lone DruidAce
MarsNoticed
Dark WillowtOfu
Batridersayuw
Crystal MaidenSeleri
UndyingFng
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2