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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 28 games
57%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 19 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
dyrachyo · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 16 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 14 games
71%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 14 games
71%

Xtreme Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 25 games
76%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 20 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 20 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 17 games
76%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 16 games
75%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Xm · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
485 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 636 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
415 picks · 731 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 566 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
395 picks · 353 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
392 picks · 163 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 774 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
333 picks · 559 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total70% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:15
Gaimin Gladiators 38%Xtreme Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 37:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperQuinn
54% · 56 games50% · 46 games
ZeusXm
Zeus
Clinkz
Clinkzdyrachyo
39% · 55 games57% · 12 games
Chaos KnightAme
Chaos Knight
Underlord
UnderlordAce
44% · 80 games51% · 112 games
DoomXxs
Doom
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
47% · 131 game54% · 144 games
TechiesDy
Techies
Abaddon
AbaddonSeleri
46% · 28 games58% · 36 games
EarthshakerXinQ
Earthshaker
Game 2prediction missed27:7
Gaimin Gladiators 38%Xtreme Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 30:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackdyrachyo
64% · 33 games50% · 34 games
Anti-MageAme
Anti-Mage
Sniper
SniperQuinn
52% · 55 games52% · 62 games
ZeusXm
Zeus
Brewmaster
BrewmasterAce
45% · 162 games44% · 192 games
Shadow DemonXinQ
Shadow Demon
Batrider
BatridertOfu
50% · 298 games49% · 198 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Io
IoSeleri
53% · 71 game50% · 133 games
GrimstrokeDy
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 70%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2