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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 33 games
70%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 23 games
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 23 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 22 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 19 games
42%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Ace · 18 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 23 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 21 game
52%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 19 games
63%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 19 games
47%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 17 games
35%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
488 picks · 484 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
444 picks · 551 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
422 picks · 201 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
324 picks · 576 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
285 picks · 396 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
280 picks · 593 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
279 picks · 175 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 464 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total79% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:39
Gaimin Gladiators 63%Yakult Brothers 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 32:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Brewmaster
BrewmasterAce
47% · 50 games44% · 137 games
Ursaflyfly
Ursa
Morphling
MorphlingWatson
43% · 232 games52% · 190 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Tiny
TinyQuinn
51% · 287 games55% · 293 games
BristlebackBEYOND
Bristleback
Ringmaster
RingmasterMalady
46% · 141 game55% · 161 game
Shadow ShamanBoBoKa
Shadow Shaman
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitiontOfu
55% · 91 game55% · 20 games
OracleOli
Oracle
Game 2prediction missed16:33
Gaimin Gladiators 65%Yakult Brothers 35%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 33:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerWatson
56% · 89 games54% · 140 games
Svenflyfly
Sven
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
57% · 186 games48% · 89 games
Queen of PainEmo
Queen of Pain
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
47% · 62 games49% · 156 games
Centaur WarrunnerBEYOND
Centaur Warrunner
Tusk
TusktOfu
49% · 217 games39% · 184 games
Dark WillowBoBoKa
Dark Willow
Disruptor
DisruptorMalady
53% · 45 games48% · 30 games
OracleOli
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 79%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2