Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CHILLAXloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
550 picks · 385 bans
Queen of Pain
462 picks · 557 bans
Mars
448 picks · 635 bans
Weaver
432 picks · 823 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 180 bans
Kunkka
340 picks · 532 bans
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 568 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:16
Gambit Esports 65%CHILLAX 35%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 37:12.
Game 2prediction missed26:43
Gambit Esports 65%CHILLAX 35%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 44:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 65%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2