Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Grimstroke
Fezor · 5 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 3 games
Rubick
Fezor · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Fezor · 2 games
Puckoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
445 picks · 270 bans
Mars
375 picks · 516 bans
Queen of Pain
370 picks · 497 bans
Weaver
350 picks · 477 bans
Death Prophet
287 picks · 440 bans
Kunkka
283 picks · 501 bans
Grimstroke
265 picks · 184 bans
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 315 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:33
Gambit Esports 70%cybercats 30%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by cybercats in 23:24.
Game 2prediction missed46:18
Gambit Esports 70%cybercats 30%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by cybercats in 29:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 70%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2