Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Novaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Nova
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 4 games
Snapfire
so bad · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
paradise' · 3 games
Pugnaoften banned
swedenstrong · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
so bad · 2 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bb3px · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
foryou · 2 games
Jakiro
so bad · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 268 bans
Mars
393 picks · 543 bans
Weaver
328 picks · 417 bans
Death Prophet
311 picks · 564 bans
Queen of Pain
299 picks · 464 bans
Tiny
296 picks · 322 bans
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 374 bans
Kunkka
268 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Nova
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:19
Gambit Esports 87%Nova 13%
The model gave 87% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Nova in 31:53.
Game 2prediction missed25:14
Gambit Esports 87%Nova 13%
The model gave 87% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Nova in 28:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 87%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2