Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:0
V-Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
V-Gaming
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 34 games
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 25 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 24 games
Disruptor
Malady · 22 games
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 22 games
Marssignature
laise · 20 games
Batridersignature
hAze · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
324 picks · 467 bans
Bane
279 picks · 212 bans
Snapfire
271 picks · 151 bans
Tidehunter
261 picks · 395 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 702 bans
Weaver
260 picks · 567 bans
Ember Spirit
215 picks · 299 bans
Lion
212 picks · 98 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 66%
Hero pool strength59% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:35
Gambit Esports 27%V-Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 43:35.
Game 2prediction correct35:13
Gambit Esports 27%V-Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 38:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 73%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2