BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Game Masterwin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Dawningloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Game Master
No games played over 6 months.
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
611 picks · 616 bans
Snapfire
531 picks · 209 bans
Dragon Knight
521 picks · 700 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 321 bans
Hoodwink
470 picks · 235 bans
Centaur Warrunner
449 picks · 534 bans
Mars
409 picks · 563 bans
Pangolier
390 picks · 577 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Game Master
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Game Master
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:21
Game Master 74%Cloud Dawning 26%
The model gave 74% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 49:14.
Game 2prediction correct28:11
Game Master 74%Cloud Dawning 26%
The model gave 74% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 24:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteGame Master · 74%
Series resultGame Master 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2