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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Game Masterwin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Grey Tracloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Game Master

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Moon · 7 games
71%
Kez
Kezoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
60%
Largo
Largooften banned
TK · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moon · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Monet · 4 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Poloson · 3 games
67%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
flyfly · 3 games
67%

Grey Trac

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
BEYOND · 5 games
80%
Bane
Bane
Undyne_ · 4 games
50%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 4 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Rico · 4 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 4 games
50%
Silencer
Silencer
Undyne_ · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Dust · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
BEYOND · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
639 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
561 picks · 313 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
488 picks · 589 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
461 picks · 395 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 652 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
354 picks · 1024 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
349 picks · 535 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 304 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% Game Master
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total69% Game Master
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:6
Game Master 61%Grey Trac 39%
The model gave 61% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 21:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezflyfly
53% · 123 games54% · 252 games
Shadow FiendRA1NCLOUD
Shadow Fiend
Batrider
BatriderJT-
59% · 255 games34% · 49 games
Death ProphetDust
Death Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMoon
50% · 299 games45% · 137 games
DawnbreakerBEYOND
Dawnbreaker
Lion
LionPyw
52% · 127 games46% · 212 games
Shadow ShamanRico
Shadow Shaman
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernTK
50% · 39 games50% · 193 games
ClockwerkUndyne_
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct43:11
Game Master 62%Grey Trac 38%
The model gave 62% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 33:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawJT-
49% · 202 games54% · 173 games
Nature's ProphetRA1NCLOUD
Nature's Prophet
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendflyfly
46% · 224 games50% · 116 games
ViperBEYOND
Viper
Snapfire
SnapfireMoon
52% · 292 games46% · 311 games
Ember SpiritDust
Ember Spirit
Largo
LargoTK
50% · 136 games48% · 205 games
RubickRico
Rubick
Lion
LionPyw
52% · 159 games53% · 208 games
ClockwerkUndyne_
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteGame Master · 69%
Series resultGame Master 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2