DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 2:0series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1w Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Snapfire
Bignum · 7 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 5 games
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 5 games
Jakiro
Speeed · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 4 games
Axe
Fayde · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
1w Team
Pucksignature
Squad1x · 34 games
Queen of Painsignature
Squad1x · 28 games
Warlocksignature
kasane · 28 games
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 27 games
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 23 games
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 21 game
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
Pugnasignature
kasane · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
775 picks · 354 bans
Hoodwink
594 picks · 297 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 546 bans
Jakiro
550 picks · 439 bans
Dragon Knight
541 picks · 656 bans
Tusk
506 picks · 302 bans
Mars
489 picks · 746 bans
Centaur Warrunner
474 picks · 533 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 60%
Hero pool strength63% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:13
GamerLegion 29%1w Team 71%
The model gave 71% on 1w Team — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 42:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckRCY
Dragon KnightMunkushi~
AbaddonYamSun
TidehunterSSS
MarsFayde
Queen of PainSquad1x
JakiroBignum
Skywrath Mageswedenstrong
BatriderSpeeed
ChenRein
Game 2prediction missed36:10
GamerLegion 28%1w Team 72%
The model gave 72% on 1w Team — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 45:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinYamSun
GyrocopterMunkushi~
SlardarRCY
LeshracSquad1x
PangolierFayde
MarsSSS
WarlockSpeeed
Shadow Demonswedenstrong
SnapfireBignum
TuskRein
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 85%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2