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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1w Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 19 games
47%
Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 19 games
53%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 19 games
74%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 16 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Bignum · 16 games
31%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Speeed · 16 games
44%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 16 games
44%

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 33 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 21 game
52%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 19 games
42%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 18 games
44%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Whitemon · 17 games
53%
Kez
Kezsignature
Pure~ · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
513 picks · 358 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
362 picks · 439 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
349 picks · 602 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 486 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
318 picks · 625 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
307 picks · 343 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
304 picks · 216 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
300 picks · 160 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% 1w Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total80% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:30
GamerLegion 33%1w Team 67%
The model gave 67% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 37:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRCY
58% · 313 games48% · 449 games
WindrangerPure~
Windranger
Kez
KezGhost
54% · 175 games48% · 127 games
Necrophos33
Necrophos
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
55% · 277 games52% · 195 games
Earth Spiritbzm
Earth Spirit
Mirana
MiranaSpeeed
50% · 135 games47% · 230 games
UndyingWhitemon
Undying
Hoodwink
HoodwinkBignum
50% · 402 games38% · 301 game
Dark WillowAri
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct13:32
GamerLegion 31%1w Team 69%
The model gave 69% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 34:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerRCY
55% · 261 game46% · 90 games
Linabzm
Lina
Tiny
TinyGhost
49% · 301 game52% · 279 games
Tidehunter33
Tidehunter
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFayde
48% · 195 games54% · 299 games
KezPure~
Kez
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBignum
39% · 142 games56% · 154 games
LionAri
Lion
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernSpeeed
52% · 101 game49% · 178 games
UndyingWhitemon
Undying
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 80%
Series result1w Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2