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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 2:0
series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Anchors and Ilmerialoss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 24 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 22 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 18 games
44%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
56%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Speeed · 17 games
41%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 16 games
69%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 16 games
56%

4 Anchors and Ilmeria

Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
dnm · 1 game
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
dnm · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
640 picks · 445 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
600 picks · 339 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
456 picks · 659 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
448 picks · 522 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
393 picks · 348 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 499 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
342 picks · 389 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 987 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% 4 Anchors and Ilmeria
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:12
GamerLegion 80%4 Anchors and Ilmeria 20%
The model gave 80% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 29:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerGhost
29% · 17 games51% · 185 games
Kezdnm
Kez
Snapfire
SnapfireFayde
50% · 32 games
Invoker
InvokerRCY
52% · 23 games
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSpeeed
56% · 87 games
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorBignum
57% · 26 games
Game 2prediction correct30:22
GamerLegion 81%4 Anchors and Ilmeria 19%
The model gave 81% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 27:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosGhost
62% · 9 games51% · 51 game
Nature's Prophetdnm
Nature's Prophet
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFayde
38% · 4 games
Invoker
InvokerRCY
47% · 13 games
Rubick
RubickBignum
42% · 15 games
Largo
LargoSpeeed
57% · 10 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 94%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2