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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
HULIGANIwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 22 games
41%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 21 game
57%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 20 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 19 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
44%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
23%

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 44 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 43 games
47%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 39 games
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 37 games
62%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 37 games
68%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
erase · 30 games
57%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 29 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
erase · 28 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
675 picks · 843 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 427 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1133 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 685 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
GamerLegion 58%HULIGANI 42%
The model gave 58% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 58%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1