ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:1series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Warlock
Speeed · 22 games
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 21 game
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 20 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 19 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
Batridersignature
Speeed · 14 games
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
PARIVISION
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 24 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
9Class · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
Slardaroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 17 games
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
Void Spirit
No[o]ne · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
683 picks · 853 bans
Tiny
591 picks · 610 bans
Tusk
497 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
492 picks · 337 bans
Shadow Demon
427 picks · 1117 bans
Ember Spirit
406 picks · 701 bans
Shadow Fiend
404 picks · 1032 bans
Mars
394 picks · 631 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total73% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:29
GamerLegion 38%PARIVISION 62%
The model gave 62% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm SpiritRCY
LunaSatanic
Dragon KnightShad
TimbersawSSS
SlardarFayde
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
PhoenixSpeeed
Weaver9Class
HoodwinkBignum
SnapfireDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 73%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1