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DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 2:1
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rottweilas LATAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 9 games
67%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 8 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 6 games
17%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 5 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 5 games
20%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 5 games
40%

Rottweilas LATAM

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
100%
Kez
Kez
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Genek · 1 game
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Genek · 1 game
100%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
563 picks · 715 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
507 picks · 351 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 657 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
450 picks · 545 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
397 picks · 135 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
386 picks · 184 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
373 picks · 523 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
373 picks · 516 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Rottweilas LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:33
GamerLegion 63%Rottweilas LATAM 37%
The model gave 63% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by Rottweilas LATAM in 36:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerRCY
43% · 85 games46% · 216 games
GyrocopterDaaD-
Gyrocopter
Clinkz
ClinkzYamSun
66% · 19 games41% · 144 games
TimbersawAdrx
Timbersaw
Doom
DoomFayde
52% · 111 games55% · 104 games
Bounty HunterGenek
Bounty Hunter
Chen
ChenSpeeed
61% · 151 game
Bane
BaneBignum
52% · 98 games
Game 2prediction correct28:10
GamerLegion 62%Rottweilas LATAM 38%
The model gave 62% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 19:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonYamSun
52% · 160 games48% · 154 games
Shadow FiendDaaD-
Shadow Fiend
Enigma
EnigmaFayde
56% · 64 games49% · 363 games
BatriderAdrx
Batrider
Leshrac
LeshracRCY
47% · 98 games52% · 100 games
Nyx AssassinGenek
Nyx Assassin
Warlock
WarlockSpeeed
49% · 166 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkBignum
48% · 129 games
Game 3prediction correct48:33
GamerLegion 63%Rottweilas LATAM 37%
The model gave 63% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 1:04:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracRCY
46% · 105 games54% · 226 games
MuertaDaaD-
Muerta
Lifestealer
LifestealerYamSun
47% · 131 game51% · 142 games
Dark SeerAdrx
Dark Seer
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerFayde
45% · 158 games46% · 428 games
TinyGenek
Tiny
Batrider
BatriderSpeeed
55% · 210 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkBignum
55% · 192 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 74%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3