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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 1:2
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rottweilas LATAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
36%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 10 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 7 games
86%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
29%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 6 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 6 games
83%

Rottweilas LATAM

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
DaaD- · 4 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
50%
Kez
Kez
DaaD- · 2 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
Genek · 2 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Genek · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Adrx · 2 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
527 picks · 766 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
489 picks · 342 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
458 picks · 636 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 551 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
375 picks · 678 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
351 picks · 568 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 454 bans
48%
Slardar
Slardar
321 picks · 887 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% GamerLegion
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total77% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:30
GamerLegion 65%Rottweilas LATAM 35%
The model gave 65% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by Rottweilas LATAM in 52:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorYamSun
53% · 16 games44% · 108 games
Phantom AssassinCostabile
Phantom Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterRCY
57% · 278 games47% · 114 games
DawnbreakerAdrx
Dawnbreaker
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFayde
50% · 42 games48% · 214 games
WarlockYadomi
Warlock
Dazzle
DazzleSpeeed
55% · 82 games43% · 138 games
ClockwerkGenek
Clockwerk
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterBignum
53% · 156 games
Game 2prediction correct22:12
GamerLegion 67%Rottweilas LATAM 33%
The model gave 67% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 48:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYamSun
53% · 110 games41% · 145 games
WindrangerCostabile
Windranger
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
49% · 278 games46% · 259 games
MarsAdrx
Mars
Slardar
SlardarRCY
58% · 181 game46% · 289 games
TinyGenek
Tiny
Marci
MarciBignum
56% · 168 games48% · 135 games
Naga SirenYadomi
Naga Siren
Undying
UndyingSpeeed
57% · 91 game
Game 3prediction missed10:33
GamerLegion 63%Rottweilas LATAM 37%
The model gave 63% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by Rottweilas LATAM in 37:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorYamSun
47% · 16 games51% · 131 game
Shadow FiendCostabile
Shadow Fiend
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFayde
59% · 135 games43% · 79 games
BrewmasterAdrx
Brewmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRCY
53% · 153 games52% · 82 games
Elder TitanYadomi
Elder Titan
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSpeeed
55% · 42 games47% · 248 games
MuertaGenek
Muerta
Tusk
TuskBignum
45% · 194 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 77%
Series resultRottweilas LATAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3